BoE could lower unemployment target before interest rate hike - experts

clock

The Bank of England (BoE) could lower the unemployment target it has said must be reached before it raises interest rates, according to some experts, as jobless figures fall faster than expected.

Bank governor Mark Carney (pictured) has said that he will not raise interest rates above their historic low of 0.5% until unemployment falls to 7%, predicting this would not be reached until 2016.

But unemployment has been falling sharply - down to a lower than expected 7.4% in October - as the recovery gains traction, meaning the threshold could be hit far sooner.

BoE policymakers will hold their first meeting of the new year this week.
While the Bank is not expected to make any changes to its forward guidance policy at this week's meeting, it could reduce the unemployment target to 6.5% as soon as next month, according to experts, the Daily Mail reports.

Alan Clarke of Scotiabank said unemployment was "falling like a stone."

"We think that 7% will be hit in the early months of 2014. As a result, the Bank is likely to modify its forward guidance policy - lowering the threshold to 6.5%- most likely at the February inflation report."

Brian Hilliard at Societe Generale said the threshold could "easily" be reduced below 6.5%.

More on Regulation

FCA chair: Name and shame plans 'valid' despite 'stern reaction'

FCA chair: Name and shame plans 'valid' despite 'stern reaction'

Ashley Alder was speaking at a Treasury Committee hearing

Cristian Angeloni
clock 09 May 2024 • 4 min read
Trade bodies call for chancellor to stop FCA public enforcement

Trade bodies call for chancellor to stop FCA public enforcement

‘Proposals to publicise investigations are a worrying development’

Isabel Baxter
clock 29 April 2024 • 2 min read
Johnny Timpson criticises DWP's vulnerable customer practices

Johnny Timpson criticises DWP's vulnerable customer practices

Calls for DWP’s approach to be brought in line with regulated sectors

Jaskeet Briah
clock 26 April 2024 • 2 min read

Highlights

COVER Survey: Advisers damning of protection insurer service levels

COVER Survey: Advisers damning of protection insurer service levels

"It takes longer than ever to get underwriting terms"

John Brazier
clock 12 October 2023 • 5 min read
Online reviews trump price for young people selecting life and health cover

Online reviews trump price for young people selecting life and health cover

According to latest ReMark report

John Brazier
clock 11 October 2023 • 2 min read
ABI members with staff neurodiversity policy nearly doubles

ABI members with staff neurodiversity policy nearly doubles

Women within executive teams have grown to 32%

Jaskeet Briah
clock 10 October 2023 • 3 min read